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Horseshoe Bay, Texas

Short-Term Rental Market Data & Investment Analysis

Horseshoe Bay, Texas Short-Term Rental Market

CMarket Score 63/100
Data updated April 2026

Horseshoe Bay STRs averaged $203/night at 42.8% occupancy in April 2026, with a market investability score of 89 out of 100.

Quick Answer: Horseshoe Bay, Texas is an active short-term rental market. average occupancy is 53%. average monthly revenue is $3,860. average daily rate is $271. the top operator is Evolve with 774 listings. market score is 63/100 (grade C).

Avg Monthly Revenue
$3,860
↑ 0.8% YoY
53%
Occupancy
↑ 2.7% YoY
$271
Avg Daily Rate
↓ 0.2% YoY
48.3 days avg lead time4.1 avg length of stay

Market data reflects the Texas East Area regional market, which includes Horseshoe Bay. Regulations, taxes, and permit details below are specific to Horseshoe Bay.

Market Score Breakdown

Five dimensions Apivex evaluates per market.

Regulation60
Seasonality75
Investability89
Rental Demand58
Revenue Growth61

Market Overview

The Horseshoe Bay, TX short-term rental market recorded an average daily rate of $203 and occupancy of 42.8% in April 2026, generating average monthly revenue of $2,435 per listing. RevPAR reached $87, reflecting a market where ADR strength partially offsets mid-range occupancy. Year-over-year, occupancy improved slightly by 1.1 percentage points while ADR dipped 3.4% and revenue held nearly flat at -0.2%.

The active listing supply is dominated by entire-place accommodations (20,944 listings), which outnumber private rooms (1,269) by a wide margin, with shared rooms accounting for just 12 listings. Bedroom distribution skews toward smaller units: 1-bedroom properties lead with 7,144 listings, followed by 3-bedroom (5,660), 2-bedroom (5,376), 4-bedroom (2,451), and 5-bedroom (1,530) options. Airbnb is the primary platform with 10,311 listings, while VRBO hosts 2,244; the large cross-listed segment (9,670 listings active on both) reflects how operators hedge distribution in this competitive market. Market scores indicate strong investability (89/100), moderate seasonality (75/100), and a total composite score of 63/100.

Seasonal Patterns

Monthly seasonal data for Horseshoe Bay, Texas
MonthOccupancyADRRevenue
Jan33%$161$1,617
Feb41%$161$1,627
Mar50%$211$2,695
Apr41%$206$2,332
May44%$231$2,694
Jun53%$271$3,778
Jul53%$275$4,009
Aug42%$236$2,765
Sep39%$215$2,247
Oct42%$205$2,398
Nov41%$201$2,222
Dec37%$190$2,096

Top Short-Term Rental Operators in Horseshoe Bay

Ranked by total active listings. Useful for understanding the competitive landscape.

#OperatorListingsReviewsRating
1Evolve77427,617★ 4.71
2Vacasa2388,722★ 4.67
3FCR Partners, LP103172★ 4.68
4Neal’s Lodges97170★ 4.79
5979 Vacation Property Services963,231★ 4.62

What Kind of STR Should I Buy in Horseshoe Bay?

Revenue and pricing by property type, tier, and bedroom count.

Revenue by Bedroom Count

1 bed7,144
2 bed5,376
3 bed5,660
4 bed2,451
5 bed1,530

ADR by Property Tier

Entire Home$281
Luxury$538
Professionally Managed$442

Revenue by Dwelling Type

Apartment$2,174
Entire Place$4,002
House$4,276

Booking Channel Mix

Distribution of bookings across major STR platforms.

Channel mix
ChannelShare
airbnb46.4%
vrbo10.1%
both43.5%

Investment Analysis

Horseshoe Bay’s investability score of 89 out of 100 signals strong fundamentals relative to comparable resort lake markets. At April 2026 ADR of $203 and 42.8% occupancy, annualized revenue runs approximately $29,219 per listing. No Zillow housing data is currently available for this area, so purchase-price-based yield calculations cannot be confirmed from data on file.

Tier comparisons tell an important story. Entire-home listings averaged $211/night versus the all-listing average of $203, a modest premium. Luxury-tier listings commanded $443/night, more than double the market average, pointing to a top-end demand segment anchored by the Horseshoe Bay Resort area. Professionally managed listings averaged $315/night, significantly above the overall market, which supports the case that professional management captures higher-rate bookings.

Revenue growth scored 61/100 and the market has been relatively stable across 2024-2025 ($2,613 and $2,652 average monthly revenue respectively), suggesting a market that has normalized after a 2020-2021 surge. The current regulatory environment (annual $600 permit, no owner-occupancy requirement) creates moderate but manageable entry costs.

Revenue Trend (5 yr)

ADR & Occupancy Trends (5 yr)

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Home Value Trends (Horseshoe Bay)

Typical Home Value
$711,762
Median Sale Price
$552,500

Booking Insights

Horseshoe Bay guests book an average of 39 days in advance as of April 2026, indicating a moderate lead window that allows for some dynamic pricing flexibility. Operators can typically adjust rates up to five weeks out before most bookings are committed, which matters during the June-July peak when demand tightens.

Average length of stay is 3.8 nights, slightly above a standard weekend but well below extended-stay territory. This means properties average roughly 8 turnovers per month at full occupancy, with associated cleaning and management costs. At 42.8% occupancy, that translates to approximately 13 booked nights per month. Operators targeting higher ADR should note that the 3.8-night average LOS supports minimum-stay policies of 3-4 nights, which can reduce single-night discount pressure without significantly reducing booking volume in this market.

Short-Term Rental Regulations

Short-term rentals are permitted in Horseshoe Bay under City Ordinance Article 4.08. Every operator must obtain a Short-Term Rental Permit before advertising or accepting bookings. The permit costs $600 per year and requires annual renewal. Permits are non-transferable between owners, operators, or properties.

No owner-occupancy or primary-residence requirement applies. There is no citywide cap on the number of STR permits issued and no limit on how many nights per year a property may be rented. Only the primary dwelling may be rented; outbuildings, campers, RVs, and trailers are excluded. Only one rental contract may be active at a time per property. Stays of 30 or more consecutive days are not classified as STRs and do not require a permit.

Operators must designate a Local Responsible Party available within one hour to respond to complaints. Safety requirements include a functional fire extinguisher and smoke detectors. Fines for operating without a permit run up to $200 per day, with escalating penalties for repeat violations.

On lodging taxes: the City of Horseshoe Bay does not levy a local hotel occupancy tax. The only applicable lodging tax is the Texas state Hotel Occupancy Tax of 6%, which major platforms typically collect and remit automatically. No recent regulatory changes were identified in the profile data.

Market Comparison

Horseshoe Bay’s April 2026 ADR of $203 is slightly below the national STR median of approximately $220, while its 42.8% occupancy trails the US median of roughly 55%. The market’s strength lies in its luxury ceiling, with top-tier listings at $443/night, and its investability score of 89/100 places it well above average for resort lake markets.

Operator concentration is meaningful. Evolve leads with 774 listings and 27,617 reviews (rated 4.71), making it the dominant platform manager in the area. Vacasa holds 238 listings with 8,722 reviews (4.67). FCR Partners (103 listings) and Neal’s Lodges (97 listings) represent smaller regional operators. 979 Vacation Property Services rounds out the top five with 96 listings and 3,231 reviews (4.62). Together, the top five operators account for over 1,300 listings, representing a meaningful share of a market where individual operators also compete actively across Airbnb and VRBO.

Frequently Asked Questions About Horseshoe Bay, Texas

What was the average daily rate for STRs in Horseshoe Bay in April 2026?
The average daily rate across all listing types was $203 in April 2026. Entire-home listings averaged $211, professionally managed listings averaged $315, and luxury-tier listings averaged $443.
What occupancy rate do Horseshoe Bay short-term rentals average?
Occupancy averaged 42.8% in April 2026, up 1.1 percentage points year-over-year. The highest monthly occupancy on record averages to July at 53.1% based on multi-year seasonal data.
What permits are required to operate an STR in Horseshoe Bay?
The city requires a Short-Term Rental Permit under Ordinance Article 4.08, which costs $600 annually. There is no owner-occupancy requirement and no cap on the number of permits issued. Operating without a permit can result in fines up to $200 per day.
What are the peak and slow seasons for Horseshoe Bay vacation rentals?
July is the peak month with average occupancy of 53.1% and ADR of $275. June follows closely. January is the slowest month, averaging 32.7% occupancy and $161 ADR, reflecting limited lake recreation demand in winter.
How much revenue does a typical Horseshoe Bay STR generate?
The average listing generated $2,435 in monthly revenue in April 2026, implying approximately $29,200 annualized at that run rate. House listings averaged $2,608/month and apartment-style listings averaged $1,679/month in the same period.
What are the lodging tax obligations for Horseshoe Bay STR operators?
The City of Horseshoe Bay does not impose a local hotel occupancy tax. Operators must collect and remit the Texas state Hotel Occupancy Tax of 6%. Major booking platforms typically collect and remit this automatically.
Who are the largest property managers operating in Horseshoe Bay?
Evolve leads with 774 listings and a 4.71 average guest rating. Vacasa manages 238 listings (4.67 rating). FCR Partners, Neal’s Lodges, and 979 Vacation Property Services each operate between 96 and 103 listings.
Horseshoe Bay, TexasRev $3,860ADR $271Occ 53%Score C (63)

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Table of Contents

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Quick Facts: Horseshoe Bay

Active STRs
280
Avg Daily Rate
$310
Occupancy Rate
43%
Population
4,257
Annual Visitors
250,000

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