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  4. Lake Arrowhead

Lake Arrowhead, California

Short-Term Rental Market Data & Investment Analysis

Lake Arrowhead, California Short-Term Rental Market

Lake Arrowhead STRs averaged $254/night at 26.4% occupancy in April 2026 across roughly 8,400 active listings.

Quick Answer: Lake Arrowhead, California is an active short-term rental market. average occupancy in the Big Bear market area is 40%. average monthly revenue in the Big Bear market area is $2,980. average daily rate in the Big Bear market area is $288. the top operator in the Big Bear market area is Destination Big Bear with 486 listings. market score is 46/100 (grade D).

Avg Monthly Revenue
$2,980
↑ 3.9% YoY
40%
Occupancy
↑ 3.8% YoY
$288
Avg Daily Rate
↓ 6.4% YoY
34.9 days avg lead time3.1 avg length of stay

Market data reflects the Big Bear regional market, which includes Lake Arrowhead. Regulations, taxes, and permit details below are specific to Lake Arrowhead.

Market Score Breakdown

Five dimensions StaySTRA evaluates per market.

Regulation70
Seasonality59
Investability67
Rental Demand42
Revenue Growth75

Market Overview

Lake Arrowhead is a mountain resort community in the San Bernardino Mountains at approximately 5,100 feet elevation, drawing an estimated 2.4 million annual visitors to the surrounding San Bernardino National Forest. The short-term rental market here is large: roughly 8,400 active listings, with 8,324 (99%) configured as entire-place rentals. Just 81 private rooms and 6 shared rooms round out the supply.

As of April 2026, average daily rate stood at $254, with occupancy at 26.4% for that month. April is seasonally the softest month of the year, so these figures reflect trough conditions, not the annual average. RevPAR was $66.95. Year-over-year, occupancy improved 13.1% compared to April 2025, while ADR slipped 4.1% and overall revenue declined 6.9%.

By bedroom count, the inventory skews toward larger properties: 3-bedroom units lead with 2,929 listings, followed by 2-bedrooms (2,509), 4-bedrooms (1,370), 1-bedrooms (904), and 5-bedrooms (692). Distribution across booking channels shows the market is heavily multi-platform: 5,176 listings appear on both Airbnb and VRBO, while 2,840 are Airbnb-only and 395 are VRBO-only.

Seasonal Patterns

Monthly seasonal data for Lake Arrowhead, California
MonthOccupancy
Jan44%
Feb43%
Mar32%
Apr30%
May33%
Jun41%
Jul47%
Aug40%
Sep28%
Oct34%
Nov40%
Dec53%

Month-by-month nightly rates and revenue figures for Lake Arrowhead are available to StaySTRA Pro members. Unlock with StaySTRA Pro or analyze a specific address free.

Top Short-Term Rental Operators in Big Bear market area

Ranked by total active listings. Useful for understanding the competitive landscape. Operator data is published for the Big Bear market as a whole, which includes Lake Arrowhead, so these counts are not Lake Arrowhead-only figures.

#OperatorListingsReviewsRating
1Destination Big Bear48627,721★ 4.72
2Big Bear Cool Cabins4177,860★ 4.50
3Big Bear Vacations4167,402★ 4.35
4Evolve26911,248★ 4.66
5Sky High Cabins1899,233★ 4.91

What Kind of STR Should I Buy in Lake Arrowhead?

Revenue and nightly-rate breakdowns by bedroom count, property tier, and dwelling type for Lake Arrowhead are available to StaySTRA Pro members. Unlock with StaySTRA Pro or analyze a specific address free.

Booking Channel Mix

Distribution of bookings across major STR platforms.

Channel mix
ChannelShare
airbnb33.8%
vrbo4.7%
both61.5%

Investment Analysis

The full investment analysis for Lake Arrowhead — gross-yield math against current home values, plus 5-year monthly revenue, nightly-rate, and occupancy trend charts — is available to StaySTRA Pro members and updates monthly. The figures shown elsewhere on this page are the free market snapshot.

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Home Value Trends (Lake Arrowhead)

Typical home values, median sale prices, and the 10-year price trend for Lake Arrowhead are available to StaySTRA Pro members. Unlock with StaySTRA Pro or analyze a specific address free.

Booking Insights

Booking-window and length-of-stay analysis for Lake Arrowhead — how far ahead guests book and how to price around it — is available to StaySTRA Pro members. Unlock with StaySTRA Pro or analyze a specific address free.

Short-Term Rental Regulations

Lake Arrowhead is an unincorporated community governed by San Bernardino County rather than a city. Short-term rentals (stays of 30 days or fewer) require a county Short-Term Rental Permit before listing or renting. As of July 1, 2025, a new permit costs approximately $1,144 (comprising a $600 application fee, $285 permit fee, and $259 notification fee). Permits are valid for one year and must be renewed annually, with renewal costing approximately $550 when no changes occur.

The application process requires a site plan, a certification of compliance with county STR standards, and an in-person exterior inspection by a Code Enforcement Officer verifying parking and other requirements. Operators must provide a 24-hour contact for complaint resolution.

A 7% Transient Occupancy Tax applies to all stays under 30 days. A November 2024 ballot measure (Measure K) that would have raised this rate to 11% was defeated with approximately 57% voting no. There is no owner-occupancy or primary-residence requirement, and no explicit annual night cap. However, the county limits STR density in mountain communities to one STR per parcel under 2 acres and two STRs per parcel over 2 acres. Enforcement is classified as strict: unpermitted operation can result in fines of $1,000 per day, escalating to $2,000 and $5,000 for repeat violations, with potential misdemeanor penalties. A county density study is ongoing and could produce additional caps.

Market Comparison

Nationally, STR markets average roughly 55% occupancy and $220 ADR. Lake Arrowhead’s April 2026 occupancy of 26.4% sits well below the national average, but April is the market’s trough month; the annual average occupancy across all months is closer to 37%, still below national norms. ADR at $254 exceeds the national median, reflecting the premium mountain-resort positioning.

The operator landscape is dominated by regional specialists rather than national platforms. Destination Big Bear leads with 486 listings, 27,721 reviews, and a 4.72 average rating. Big Bear Cool Cabins holds 417 listings (rating 4.50), and Big Bear Vacations manages 416 listings (rating 4.35). Evolve, a national operator, ranks fourth with 269 listings and a 4.66 rating. Sky High Cabins rounds out the top five with 189 listings and the highest rating in the group at 4.91.

The top three regional operators collectively hold roughly 1,319 listings, representing about 15.7% of the 8,411-listing market. Market concentration is relatively low, leaving room for independent operators who invest in quality and hospitality. The market’s regulation score of 69.6/100 reflects the county’s active permitting and enforcement posture.

Frequently Asked Questions About Lake Arrowhead, California

What is the average nightly rate for a short-term rental in Lake Arrowhead?
As of April 2026, the market-wide average daily rate was $254. Luxury-tier listings averaged $441/night, while professionally managed listings averaged $290/night. Winter months (December, January) see ADRs of $420-$460, significantly above the spring trough.
What occupancy rate can I expect for a Lake Arrowhead STR?
April 2026 occupancy was 26.4%, which is the market’s seasonal trough. The seasonal average by month ranges from about 28% in September to 53% in December. The annual average across all months in recent years has been in the 35-38% range.
Do I need a permit to operate a short-term rental in Lake Arrowhead?
Yes. Lake Arrowhead is in unincorporated San Bernardino County, which requires a county Short-Term Rental Permit. As of July 2025, a new permit costs approximately $1,144. Permits renew annually at about $550. Operating without a permit can result in fines starting at $1,000 per day.
What is the transient occupancy tax rate in Lake Arrowhead?
San Bernardino County charges a 7% Transient Occupancy Tax on all STR stays under 30 days. A 2024 ballot measure to raise the rate to 11% was defeated by voters.
When is peak season for Lake Arrowhead short-term rentals?
Occupancy in Lake Arrowhead peaks in Dec (53%) and is softest in Sep (28%). Month-by-month rate and revenue figures are available with StaySTRA Pro.
What is the typical home value for STR investors in Lake Arrowhead?
As of April 2026, the typical home value was approximately $535,149 per Zillow data. The median sale price was $568,500, and properties were taking a median of 68 days to go pending. The sale-to-list ratio of 0.886 indicates buyers are successfully negotiating below list price.
How many short-term rental listings are active in Lake Arrowhead?
Approximately 8,400 active listings are tracked in the market, with 8,324 (99%) as entire-place rentals. By bedroom mix, 3-bedroom properties are the most common at 2,929 units, followed by 2-bedrooms (2,509) and 4-bedrooms (1,370).
Lake Arrowhead, CaliforniaRev $2,980ADR $288Occ 40%Score D (46)

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Property Managers Serving Lake Arrowhead

Northpoint Asset Management · Ryconn

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Table of Contents

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Quick Facts: Big Bear market area

Avg Daily Rate
$288
Occupancy Rate
40%
Avg Revenue/Mo
$2,980
Lake Arrowhead Population
10,639

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