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  4. Merced

Merced, California

Short-Term Rental Market Data & Investment Analysis

Merced, California Short-Term Rental Market

Merced, CA STRs averaged $141/night at 59.1% occupancy in April 2026, near the gateway to Yosemite National Park.

Quick Answer: Merced, California is an active short-term rental market. average occupancy in the California Central Valley market area is 63%. average monthly revenue in the California Central Valley market area is $2,724. average daily rate in the California Central Valley market area is $157. the top operator in the California Central Valley market area is Evolve with 177 listings. market score is 58/100 (grade C).

Avg Monthly Revenue
$2,724
↑ 2.7% YoY
63%
Occupancy
↓ 0.5% YoY
$157
Avg Daily Rate
↑ 4% YoY
32.1 days avg lead time5.2 avg length of stay

Market data reflects the California Central Valley regional market, which includes Merced. Regulations, taxes, and permit details below are specific to Merced.

Market Score Breakdown

Five dimensions StaySTRA evaluates per market.

Regulation64
Seasonality99
Investability58
Rental Demand66
Revenue Growth49

Market Overview

Merced is a Central Valley city of approximately 91,953 residents, marketed as the Gateway to Yosemite and located less than two hours from Yosemite National Park, which attracts more than 3.5 million annual visitors. The city is served by Amtrak’s San Joaquins line and YARTS bus connections to the park, making it a transit staging hub for Yosemite-bound travelers. UC Merced, with more than 9,000 students, generates additional visitor and academic travel.

In April 2026, the STR market posted an average daily rate of $141 and an occupancy rate of 59.1%, with RevPAR of $83. Year-over-year through April 2026, occupancy declined 0.5 percentage points, ADR fell 0.7%, and revenue declined 2.7%.

A notable characteristic of this market is its year-round occupancy consistency. The weakest month in the historical average, January, still records 54.7% occupancy. This compressed seasonal range earns an StaySTRA seasonality score of 98.8, reflecting the benefit of sustained demand across all 12 months rather than reliance on a concentrated peak.

The listing mix includes a larger private-room share than most markets in this dataset. Entire-place listings account for approximately 73% of inventory, with private rooms representing approximately 27%. This mix reflects Merced’s dual character as a Yosemite gateway (entire-place vacation rentals) and a UC Merced-adjacent market (hosted rooms for university visitors).

One-bedroom units are the most represented category, followed by three-bedroom and two-bedroom properties. Airbnb is the dominant channel, with VRBO a minor secondary platform.

The StaySTRA composite score is 58.0. Seasonality leads at 98.8. Rental demand scores 66.4, regulation 63.6, investability 58.1, and revenue growth 48.7. The below-average composite reflects modest revenue growth and investability rather than a demand deficit.

Seasonal Patterns

Monthly seasonal data for Merced, California
MonthOccupancy
Jan55%
Feb61%
Mar61%
Apr61%
May64%
Jun66%
Jul67%
Aug63%
Sep61%
Oct61%
Nov58%
Dec57%

Month-by-month nightly rates and revenue figures for Merced are available to StaySTRA Pro members. Unlock with StaySTRA Pro or analyze a specific address free.

Top Short-Term Rental Operators in California Central Valley market area

Ranked by total active listings. Useful for understanding the competitive landscape. Operator data is published for the California Central Valley market as a whole, which includes Merced, so these counts are not Merced-only figures.

#OperatorListingsReviewsRating
1Evolve1774,256★ 4.54
2Stay Smart85926★ 4.36
3Guest Equity, Inc.474,161★ 4.71
4Fresno Short Term Rentals433,826★ 4.85
5LUSH Garden Hideaway42875★ 4.95

What Kind of STR Should I Buy in Merced?

Revenue and nightly-rate breakdowns by bedroom count, property tier, and dwelling type for Merced are available to StaySTRA Pro members. Unlock with StaySTRA Pro or analyze a specific address free.

Booking Channel Mix

Distribution of bookings across major STR platforms.

Channel mix
ChannelShare
airbnb70.7%
vrbo2.9%
both26.3%

Investment Analysis

The full investment analysis for Merced — gross-yield math against current home values, plus 5-year monthly revenue, nightly-rate, and occupancy trend charts — is available to StaySTRA Pro members and updates monthly. The figures shown elsewhere on this page are the free market snapshot.

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Home Value Trends (Merced)

Typical home values, median sale prices, and the 10-year price trend for Merced are available to StaySTRA Pro members. Unlock with StaySTRA Pro or analyze a specific address free.

Booking Insights

Booking-window and length-of-stay analysis for Merced — how far ahead guests book and how to price around it — is available to StaySTRA Pro members. Unlock with StaySTRA Pro or analyze a specific address free.

Short-Term Rental Regulations

Short-term rentals are permitted in Merced, subject to regulatory compliance. The City of Merced requires operators to obtain a city business license and a Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT) certificate from the Finance Department. An Administrative Permit from the Planning Department is also commonly referenced as required for STR operation.

The TOT rate is 10% of the rental amount, remitted quarterly (April, July, October, January). A potential TOT increase to up to 12% was discussed by the Merced City Council in 2024, with a possible voter ballot measure proposed. The enacted status of any increase after the November 2024 ballot window is uncertain and should be confirmed directly with the City Finance Department before listing.

IMPORTANT: Much of the commonly cited STR regulatory detail for Merced, including specific zone-by-zone permit requirements, a 180-night annual cap, and an owner-occupancy requirement, appears to originate from the Merced County Unified Development Ordinance governing unincorporated county areas, not the incorporated City of Merced. Secondary reference sources frequently conflate city and county rules in this market. The actual City of Merced Title 20 permit pathway, applicable residential zones, and any owner-occupancy or night-cap provisions could not be confirmed from available municipal sources and must be verified directly with City Planning.

Operating conditions commonly referenced include a 24/7 local emergency contact, quiet hours from 10 PM to 7 AM, and a no-events policy. Enforcement is characterized as moderate. Investors should confirm all applicable requirements with Merced City Planning and the Finance Department before listing any property.

Market Comparison

The US median annual STR occupancy is approximately 55%. Merced’s April 2026 occupancy of 59.1% exceeds the national median. The 2025 annual average of 58.2% also outperforms the national benchmark. Merced’s consistent year-round occupancy above 54% in all months distinguishes it from markets with deeper seasonal troughs.

ADR of $141 is significantly below the national median of approximately $220 and below most California coastal and mountain markets. Merced’s affordability and relatively lower leisure tourism profile compared to coastal California or Lake Tahoe keep nightly rates modest despite proximity to Yosemite.

Top operators in the Merced and Central Valley area include Evolve (177 listings, 4,256 reviews, 4.54 average rating), Stay Smart (85 listings, 926 reviews, 4.36 rating), and Guest Equity Inc. (47 listings, 4,161 reviews, 4.71 rating). Fresno Short Term Rentals (43 listings, 4.85 rating) and LUSH Garden Hideaway (42 listings, 4.95 rating, highest-rated in the top five) round out the top five operators serving the region.

The composite score of 58.0 and investability of 58.1 are below the dataset average. The standout metrics are the seasonality score of 98.8 and gross yield of approximately 6.9% based on current home values, which together describe a market with stable demand and reasonable entry-level return potential.

Frequently Asked Questions About Merced, California

What is the average daily rate for Merced, CA short-term rentals?
Merced short-term rentals average $157 per night across all listing types. Nightly-rate breakdowns by property tier are available with StaySTRA Pro.
What occupancy rate can I expect for a Merced, CA STR?
April 2026 occupancy was 59.1%, above the US national median. Even the weakest month (January) averages 54.7% occupancy historically. June leads at 66.8%. The 2025 annual average was 58.2%.
What is the gross yield potential for a Merced STR?
At April 2026 average monthly revenue of $2,268 and a typical Merced home value of $397,040 (Zillow, April 2026), the implied gross yield is approximately 6.9% before management fees and operating costs. This is based on market averages and individual results will vary.
Are short-term rentals permitted in Merced, CA?
Yes, STRs are permitted. Operators must obtain a city business license, a Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT) certificate, and an Administrative Permit from Planning. The TOT rate is 10% of the rental amount, remitted quarterly. Note that many commonly cited STR rules in Merced trace to county ordinances, not city code. Confirm applicable city requirements directly with Merced City Planning and the Finance Department.
Does Merced have a strong seasonal pattern for STR income?
Merced has one of the flattest seasonal occupancy patterns in the dataset. All 12 months average above 54% occupancy, with a peak-to-trough swing of approximately 12 percentage points. June and July are strongest ($2,265 to $2,308 average revenue); January is the weakest at $1,695. Year-round Yosemite tourism and UC Merced activity support demand in all seasons.
How far in advance do guests book Merced STRs and how long do they stay?
The average booking lead time is 28.1 days (about 4 weeks before arrival), shorter than most vacation markets. The average stay is 5.0 nights, longer than most markets, reflecting multi-night Yosemite itineraries and extended university visits.
What are Merced housing prices relative to STR revenue?
Across all listing types, Merced short-term rentals average $2,724 per month. Breakdowns by property type, bedroom count, and season are available with StaySTRA Pro, or run a free address-level estimate with the StaySTRA Analyzer.
Merced, CaliforniaRev $2,724ADR $157Occ 63%Score C (58)

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Table of Contents

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Quick Facts: California Central Valley market area

Avg Daily Rate
$157
Occupancy Rate
63%
Avg Revenue/Mo
$2,724
Merced Population
91,953

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