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  4. Guerneville

Guerneville, California

Short-Term Rental Market Data & Investment Analysis

Guerneville, California Short-Term Rental Market

Guerneville, CA STRs averaged $447/night at 53.5% occupancy in April 2026 across 3,901 active listings.

Quick Answer: Guerneville, California is an active short-term rental market. average occupancy in the Sonoma market area is 63%. average monthly revenue in the Sonoma market area is $8,770. average daily rate in the Sonoma market area is $518. the top operator in the Sonoma market area is Vacasa with 175 listings. market score is 67/100 (grade C).

Avg Monthly Revenue
$8,770
↑ 9.2% YoY
63%
Occupancy
↑ 4.6% YoY
$518
Avg Daily Rate
↑ 4.8% YoY
70.2 days avg lead time4 avg length of stay

Market data reflects the Sonoma regional market, which includes Guerneville. Regulations, taxes, and permit details below are specific to Guerneville.

Market Score Breakdown

Five dimensions StaySTRA evaluates per market.

Regulation72
Seasonality70
Investability60
Rental Demand67
Revenue Growth80

Market Overview

The Guerneville, California short-term rental market covers the Russian River resort corridor in western Sonoma County, with 3,901 active listings as of April 2026. The market consists overwhelmingly of entire-place listings (3,598 of 3,901, or 92.2%), with 302 private rooms and 1 shared room, consistent with the area’s character as a weekend retreat destination anchored by the Russian River, Armstrong Redwoods State Natural Reserve, and Russian River Valley wine country.

The average daily rate in April 2026 was $447.29, the highest in this batch of five markets, with an occupancy rate of 53.5% and average monthly revenue of $6,243 per listing. RevPAR was $239.06. Year-over-year trends show a divergence: occupancy grew 5.27 percentage points while ADR declined 1.03%, resulting in a net revenue gain of 4.13%. This pattern reflects a market recovering fill rates even as nightly rates edge down slightly.

By bedroom count, one-bedroom units are most common at 1,128 listings, followed by three-bedroom (988) and two-bedroom (981). Four-bedroom properties account for 518 listings and five-bedroom or larger units number 283, reflecting the area’s mix of intimate retreats and larger group-rental properties.

Channel distribution shows 1,969 listings on both Airbnb and VRBO, with 1,640 Airbnb-only and 292 VRBO-only. The composite market score of 66.92 reflects a market with strong revenue growth momentum (79.94) offset by strict regulatory constraints (71.92 regulation score, with the investability score at 59.50 reflecting permit access limitations).

Seasonal Patterns

Monthly seasonal data for Guerneville, California
MonthOccupancy
Jan39%
Feb48%
Mar51%
Apr56%
May58%
Jun64%
Jul67%
Aug64%
Sep58%
Oct55%
Nov51%
Dec45%

Month-by-month nightly rates and revenue figures for Guerneville are available to StaySTRA Pro members. Unlock with StaySTRA Pro or analyze a specific address free.

Top Short-Term Rental Operators in Sonoma market area

Ranked by total active listings. Useful for understanding the competitive landscape. Operator data is published for the Sonoma market as a whole, which includes Guerneville, so these counts are not Guerneville-only figures.

#OperatorListingsReviewsRating
1Vacasa1759,887★ 4.56
2Bodega Bay & Beyond Vacation Home Rentals913,491★ 4.80
3Russian River Vacation Homes856,990★ 4.81
4Woodfield49626★ 4.86
5Bodega Bay Escapes44787★ 4.83

What Kind of STR Should I Buy in Guerneville?

Revenue and nightly-rate breakdowns by bedroom count, property tier, and dwelling type for Guerneville are available to StaySTRA Pro members. Unlock with StaySTRA Pro or analyze a specific address free.

Booking Channel Mix

Distribution of bookings across major STR platforms.

Channel mix
ChannelShare
airbnb42%
vrbo7.5%
both50.5%

Investment Analysis

The full investment analysis for Guerneville — gross-yield math against current home values, plus 5-year monthly revenue, nightly-rate, and occupancy trend charts — is available to StaySTRA Pro members and updates monthly. The figures shown elsewhere on this page are the free market snapshot.

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Home Value Trends (Guerneville)

Typical home values, median sale prices, and the 10-year price trend for Guerneville are available to StaySTRA Pro members. Unlock with StaySTRA Pro or analyze a specific address free.

Booking Insights

Booking-window and length-of-stay analysis for Guerneville — how far ahead guests book and how to price around it — is available to StaySTRA Pro members. Unlock with StaySTRA Pro or analyze a specific address free.

Short-Term Rental Regulations

Guerneville is unincorporated western Sonoma County, so short-term rentals are regulated by Sonoma County (Permit Sonoma), not a city. Operating legally requires two separate approvals: a Vacation Rental zoning permit confirming the parcel qualifies and an annual Vacation Rental business license. Total initial cost is approximately $1,414 based on published data, with renewal required annually. The county levies a 12% Transient Occupancy Tax on all unincorporated-area lodging, due quarterly.

The fundamental constraint for new investors is zoning eligibility. Sonoma County Ordinance 6386 (effective August 2022) made R1, R2, R3, LIA, and PC zoned properties ineligible for new vacation rental permits. Only RR, AR, LEA, DA, and RRD parcels qualify. Because much of Guerneville’s housing stock is zoned R1, most homes in town cannot obtain a permit. Additionally, the Russian River corridor falls within cap and exclusion zones limiting vacation rentals to approximately 5% of housing stock; as of the most recent data, these cap zones had no remaining capacity for new permits.

Licenses expire 365 days from approval and must be renewed annually. Enforcement is active through Permit Sonoma code enforcement, with formal processes for unpermitted operation.

For investors, the practical implication is that purchasing an existing, already-permitted vacation rental is the primary path to entry. New permits on unencumbered R1 properties are not available. Investors should verify the specific parcel’s zoning, existing permit status, and current cap zone capacity with Permit Sonoma before purchasing. There is no owner-occupancy or primary-residence requirement for eligible properties.

Market Comparison

Guerneville’s $447.29 ADR in April 2026 is more than double the US STR median of roughly $220, placing it in the premium tier nationally. Its 53.5% occupancy is close to the US median of approximately 55%. The combination of above-average occupancy and well-above-average ADR produces the highest RevPAR ($239.06) and highest average monthly revenue ($6,243) in this five-market batch.

The revenue growth score of 79.94 reflects strong positive momentum, consistent with the 4.13% year-over-year revenue gain and steady ADR appreciation from $327 in 2019 to $445 in 2025 (a 36% cumulative rate increase over six years). The investability score of 59.50 is held down by the permit access constraints rather than by demand fundamentals.

Among professional operators, Vacasa leads with 175 listings and 9,887 reviews at a 4.56 average rating. Russian River Vacation Homes, a regional specialist, manages 85 listings with 6,990 reviews at a 4.81 rating, the highest quality score among the top operators with meaningful review volume. Bodega Bay and Beyond Vacation Home Rentals holds 91 listings at a 4.80 rating. Together the top three operators account for 351 listings, or 9.0% of the 3,901-listing market.

Frequently Asked Questions About Guerneville, California

What is the average nightly rate for Airbnb rentals in Guerneville, CA?
As of April 2026, the average daily rate in Guerneville is $447.29. Entire-home listings average $471.15, professionally managed properties average $575.42, and luxury-tier listings reach $877.25 per night.
What is the occupancy rate for vacation rentals in Guerneville, CA?
Guerneville STRs averaged 53.5% occupancy in April 2026. Occupancy ranges from 39.4% in January to 67.4% in July. Year-over-year, occupancy grew 5.27 percentage points through April 2026, while ADR declined slightly by 1.03%.
How much revenue can a vacation rental earn in Guerneville, CA?
Across all listing types, Guerneville short-term rentals average $8,770 per month. Breakdowns by property type, bedroom count, and season are available with StaySTRA Pro, or run a free address-level estimate with the StaySTRA Analyzer.
Can I buy an investment property and operate a vacation rental in Guerneville, CA?
Obtaining a new permit is extremely difficult. Sonoma County Ordinance 6386 made R1, R2, R3, LIA, and PC zoned properties ineligible for new vacation rental permits; only specific rural zoning categories qualify. The Russian River corridor cap zones (limiting VRs to roughly 5% of housing stock) currently have no remaining capacity for new permits. Purchasing an existing, already-permitted vacation rental is the primary entry path. Verify zoning and permit status with Permit Sonoma before buying.
What permits and taxes are required for a vacation rental in Guerneville, CA?
Operators need a Sonoma County Vacation Rental zoning permit plus an annual Vacation Rental business license, with a combined initial cost of approximately $1,414. Annual renewal is required. The county levies a 12% Transient Occupancy Tax on all unincorporated-area lodging, due quarterly.
What is the best time of year to rent a property in Guerneville, CA?
Occupancy in Guerneville peaks in Jul (67%) and is softest in Jan (39%). Month-by-month rate and revenue figures are available with StaySTRA Pro.
Who are the top property managers for Russian River vacation rentals?
Vacasa leads with 175 listings and 9,887 reviews at a 4.56 average rating. Bodega Bay and Beyond Vacation Home Rentals manages 91 listings at a 4.80 rating. Russian River Vacation Homes operates 85 listings with 6,990 reviews at a 4.81 rating.
Guerneville, CaliforniaRev $8,770ADR $518Occ 63%Score C (67)

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Table of Contents

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Quick Facts: Sonoma market area

Avg Daily Rate
$518
Occupancy Rate
63%
Avg Revenue/Mo
$8,770
Guerneville Population
4,552

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